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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
Vu Anh Tuan
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DOI:10.17265/2328-2142/2023.04.004
Vietnamese-German Transport Research Centre, Vietnamese-German University, Bình Dương 75000, Vietnam
Quite many Asian cities are facing the issues of motorcycle dominance, and to solve it these cities are developing urban mass rapid transit systems (i.e., BRT and MRT) with an intention to attract a large number of motorcycle and car users. However, there might be uncertainties in shifting private transport users to new public transport systems, thereby risking the effectiveness of the investment in public transport. This study aims to examine the possibilities of modal shift to public transport by exploring current patterns of people’s travel behavior and anticipating their mode choice changes under policy intervention scenarios. Hanoi City, a typical motorcycle-dominated city in Asia, is selected for a case study. A stated preference survey is conducted and SP/RP mode choice models are estimated for different segments of urban transport market. It is revealed that a significant number of private transport users might still stick to motorcycle and car use despite aggressive improvements of public transport in the future. Trip chaining behavior and presence of school kid(s) in the family may prevent family members from shifting to public transport. A longer travel distance may not necessarily lead to a higher modal shift away from motorcycle. These findings would be helpful to guide policy making towards sustainable development of public transport systems and effective management of private transport in developing cities, especially whose motorcycles are rapidly increasing and being dominant.
Public transport, BRT, transportation management.
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