Elasticity Forces in Tourism Under Covid-19: The Model of the Imaginary Mechanical Tourist Spring

The forces of contraction and expansion about the seasons in tourism behave like an imaginary mechanical tourist spring. The article discusses tourist activities in Bulgaria from 2009 to 2020, predictions concerning Covid-19, and tendencies expected in the last quarter of 2021 till the end of 2022 on data published by the National Statistics Institute and Eurostat. The system’s dynamics observed before the pandemic crisis in tourism resembles the action of a mechanical spring that shrinks and extends, and we can empirically analyze the process of tourism activities. The study of this elasticity process of the system allows establishing a model with positive characteristics of the dynamics and further dealing with problems, better clarity in analysis and modeling of prognosis based on the potential of an imaginary mechanical spring concerning the possibility of the tourist destination.

elasticity, mechanical tourist spring, tourist potential, tourist destination, prognosis

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