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Affiliation(s)

University of California, Santa Barbara, California, USA
Dalian University of Technology, Liaoning, China

ABSTRACT

In this article, we review three publications regarding trade and interstate conflict and aim to further delineate the debate of whether economic interdependence is a cause of war or peace. The recent U.S.-China trade tensions under the Trump administration have warranted a renewed interest in the qualification of the veracity of either peace or conflict in an age of increasing interdependence. In this analysis, we aim to contribute to the base of knowledge of interdependence and interstate conflict and argue that three strategies merit additional attention. First, research should turn to previously neglected secondary and tertiary boundary conditions under which trade can have an influence on the likelihood of conflict. Second, additional effort should be made towards revealing and delineating causal mechanisms instead of taking for granted the most prevalent frameworks of major paradigms. Third, it would be prudent to reconceptualize key concepts and assumptions when trying to understand the effects of economic exchange on belligerence.

KEYWORDS

economic interdependence, interstate conflict, security externality, intra-industry trade, relative gain

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