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Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process in Long-Term Load Growth Forecast




Author(s)

Blagoja Stevanoski and Natasa Mojsoska

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DOI:10.17265/2328-2223/2017.03.005

The load growth is the most important uncertainties in power system planning process. The applications of the classical long-term load forecasting methods particularly applied to utilities in transition economy are insufficient and may produce incorrect decisions in power system planning process. This paper discusses using the method of analytic hierarchy process to calculate the probability distribution of load growth obtained previously by standard load forecasting methods.

Long-term load forecasting, analytic hierarchy process, probability, uncertainties.